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The Political Edge: Which Coalitions Are Backing The 2020 Frontrunners?

September 4, 2019

Recent national polls of the 2020 Democratic primary field suggest that there are three clear frontrunners in the race to take on President Donald Trump: Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sens. Bernie Sanders & Elizabeth Warren. In every survey published in the last two weeks, these candidates were the only ones to crack double digit polling numbers.

Last week, Amy Walter at The Cook Political Report dug deeper into six polls taken in August to discern which coalitions were backing each candidate. Below are her findings:

Joe Biden: Biden is strongest among older, African-American, and moderate/conservative Democratic primary voters. He has double-digit leads among voters who say they are moderate to conservative.

Bernie Sanders: Sanders is strongest among younger voters, but he doesn’t rack up the large margins with these voters that Biden does among older voters. Biden has double digit leads among voters over 45-years-old while Sanders’ lead among 18-34-year-olds is in the single digits .

Elizabeth Warren: Warren is strongest among the most liberal voters and those with a college degree. In polls where voters were asked to describe their ideology, Warren is way ahead of Sanders among those who say they are “very liberal,” leading him 35% to 19%.

Filed Under: Data Center, Featured, Features

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