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The Political Edge: How Democrats In Trump Districts Voted On Impeachment

December 19, 2019

In this week’s edition of The Political Edge, we take a look at how House Democrats representing districts carried by President Trump voted on yesterday’s articles of impeachment. 

The table below highlights each member’s vote and is organized by Trump’s margin of victory in 2016 (largest to smallest). It also includes the partisan voting index of the member’s district (which measures how strongly a district leans toward a particular party compared to the nation as a whole) and the current rating of the race as determined by the Cook Political Report. 

Of the 31 Democrats in Trump districts, 28 voted for both articles of impeachment. Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME), who represents Maine’s Second District, voted to impeach the president on the grounds of abuse of power but voted against articles alleging obstruction of Congress. Rep. Colin Peterson (D-MN) voted against both articles as did Rep. Jeff Van Drew (D-NJ), although Van Drew is expected to switch parties and become a Republican.

Of the 29 Democrats who voted for impeachment (including Golden), 16 represent districts that President Trump carried by four points or more in 2016. Thirteen of the Democrats who voted for impeachment won their election by a margin of five points or less, but the president outperformed all but one of those thirteen in 2016.

DistrictIncumbentImpeachment VotePVI2020 Cook Rating2018 Dem Margin2016 Trump Margin
MN-07Collin PetersonNayR+12Toss Up4.3%30.5%
NY-22Anthony BrindisiYeaR+6Toss Up1.8%15.3%
OK-05Kendra HornYeaR+10Toss Up1.4%13.7%
SC-01Joe CunninghamYeaR+10Toss Up1.4%12.7%
ME-02Jared GoldenYea*R+2Toss Up1.2%10.3%
NM-02Xochitl Torres SmallYeaR+6Toss Up1.9%10.2%
NY-11Max RoseYeaR+3Toss Up6.4%9.8%
PA-08Matt CartwrightYeaR+1Lean D9.3%9.5%
NY-19Antonio DelgadoYeaR+2Toss Up5.2%6.8%
MI-08Elissa SlotkinYeaR+4Toss Up3.8%6.7%
UT-04Ben McAdamsYeaR+13Toss Up0.3%6.7%
VA-07Abigail SpanbergerYeaR+6Lean D1.9%6.5%
NJ-03Andy KimYeaR+2Toss Up1.3%6.2%
NJ-02Jeff Van DrewNay*R+1Lean R7.7%4.6%
WI-03Ron KindYeaEVENLikely D19.3%4.5%
MI-11Haley StevensYeaR+4Lean D6.7%4.4%
IA-02Dave LoebsackYeaD+1Toss Up12.2%4.1%
IL-14Lauren UnderwoodYeaR+5Toss Up5.0%4.0%
IA-01Abby FinkenauerYeaD+1Toss Up5.1%3.5%
IA-03Cindy AxneYeaR+1Toss Up2.2%3.5%
VA-02Elaine LuriaYeaR+3Toss Up2.2%3.4%
PA-17Conor LambYeaR+3Likely D12.5%2.5%
NY-18Sean Patrick MaloneyYeaR+1Likely D10.9%2.0%
NH-01Chris PappasYeaR+2Lean D8.5%1.6%
GA-06Lucy McBathYeaR+8Toss Up1.0%1.5%
MN-02Angie CraigYeaR+2Lean D5.5%1.2%
AZ-01Tom O'HalleranYeaR+2Lean D7.7%1.1%
NJ-05Josh GottheimerYeaR+3Likely D13.7%1.1%
NV-03Susie LeeYeaR+2Lean D9.1%1.0%
NJ-11Mikie SherrillYeaR+3Likely D14.6%0.9%
IL-17Cheri BustosYeaD+3Likely D24.2%0.7%

Filed Under: Data Center, Featured, Features

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