AR Intel Week Ahead: 10-15-18
With just three weeks until Election Day, debate season is in full gear in House and Senate races. Senate debates for Arizona, Missouri, Nevada, and Wisconsin are all taking place this week, along with key House races in Michigan, Iowa, Ohio, and Nebraska, among many others.
Meanwhile, President Trump is hitting the road on behalf of candidates across the country. He’s in Florida Monday, surveying damage done to the panhandle coast by Hurricane Michael, and then handing out the medal of honor on Wednesday. He’ll hold rallies in Montana and Arizona later in the week.
For further details on these updates and much more, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel!
AR Intel’s 2018 Midterm Debate Look Ahead
It’s officially debate season! House and Senate candidates across the country are taking the debate stage, looking into television camera lenses, and telling voters what exactly it is they will do in office.
Given the sheer number of closely-watched races, let alone the number of debates for each race, AR Intel compiled a list of debates in some of the most critical races this fall. Take a look below of October’s “Must See TV” debates, and let us know in the comments section if we missed one important to you!
To view the AR Intel debate look ahead, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel today!
Five GOP Women Running for Congress You Could Support in the Last Five Weeks
With less than five weeks to go until Election Day, we’re finally in the final stretch of the 2018 midterms. The House is in recess until mid-November, meaning incumbents and challengers alike are hitting the campaign trail in earnest.
And while Democratic women so often get the spotlight in the mainstream media, this cycle marks perhaps the strongest group of GOP women candidates to ever run for office. When AR Intel spoke to Winning for Women’s Rebecca Schuller back in June, the executive director of the center-right group said the media’s “Year of the Woman” narrative was largely viewed “through a liberal lens.”
But in states red and blue alike, Republican women came out in droves this year to run for Congress, and many of them will win. To learn more about GOP women candidates you can support, check out AR Intel’s list highlighting five strong candidates below:
Rep. Barbara Comstock – Virginia’s 10th Congressional District
Comstock is locked in a tough battle with liberal Democrat Jennifer Wexton. The pair faced off in a debate last month, and Comstock demonstrated her “mastery of local concerns,” as the Washington Post put it. On the other hand, The Post noted that Wexton often read from note cards during the debate and “occasionally stumbled” through answers.
Comstock has worked hard to close the gap with Wexton from a June poll that showed the Democrat 10 points up. A poll released Tuesday showed Wexton ahead by just 6 points. But that result is actually within the poll’s margin of error, which was reported as between 5.1 and 7.2 percentage points.
To donate to Comstock’s campaign, click here.
Rep. Claudia Tenney – New York’s 22nd Congressional District
Tenney is a freshman congresswoman running for reelection in a toss-up district. While Trump won the district by 15 points in 2016, Gov. Mitt Romney defeated President Obama by less than a percentage point in 2012. The Cook Political Report gives the district an R+6 rating, and Tenney won her seat by a five-point margin last cycle.
Tenney has aligned herself with President Trump, who came to her district for a fundraiser in August.
Tenney is facing Democrat Anthony Brindisi, who did not face a challenger in the primary. Brindisi has been a strong fundraiser, but Tenney was able to pull in $1 million during the second quarter of 2018. Tenney argues she has been outspent in previous campaigns but prevails because she’s focused on grassroots efforts.
To help Tenney’s campaign with a donation, click here.
Maria Elvira Salazar – Florida’s 27th Congressional District
Salazar is running to replace long-time Miami congresswoman, Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL). Many assumed when Ros-Lehtinen announced her retirement that the district would automatically go to Democrats, but Salazar has run an impressive campaign. Voters in the district are likely familiar with her, as she previously worked for a local TV station, MegaTV, as well as Telemundo and CNN En Español. About 57 percent of the district’s registered voters are Latino, and as the New York Times notes, “Most of them are Cuban-American, as is Ms. Salazar.”
Salazar is facing former HHS Secretary under President Clinton, Donna Shalala, who also served as president of the University of Miami. Shalala’s entrance into the Democratic primary scared away some strong candidates, but her lackluster campaign has not inspired confidence in her party’s leadership.
Salazar’s internal polling shows her leading Shalala. To support Salazar’s campaign visit her campaign website here.
Mimi Walters – California’s 45th Congressional District
Walters first won this Orange County seat in 2014 and is facing perhaps her toughest challenge yet in Democrat Katie Porter. The district is just narrowly Republican, according to the Cook Political Report, but Hillary Clinton won the district in 2016. Inside Elections rates the race as a toss-up.
Former President Obama attended a rally in support of Porter and other southern California Democrats last month.
A recent Democrat-sponsored poll showed Walters and Porter virtually tied, 47-48.
To contribute to Walters’ campaign, click here.
Diane Harkey – California’s 49th Congressional District
Harkey is facing off against Democrat Mike Levin in this San Diego-based district. The two are competing for the seat that will be vacated by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa. They also have competing endorsements – Harkey’s from President Trump and Levin’s from former President Obama.
During a recent debate, Levin was backed into a corner on the topic of impeachment when he was forced to say he’s not necessarily seeking impeachment, but “justice and the truth.” During that same debate, Harkey reiterated her support for Trump’s border wall, saying it’s “a necessity” to keep criminals and gang members out of the U.S.
To support Harkey’s campaign, click here.
AR Intel Week Ahead: 10-01-18
There are just 36 days left until the 2018 election.
The House is out for recess this week and will not return until after the midterm elections, giving its members opportunities for last-minute campaigning
The Senate has two items on its agenda for this week: voting on the Federal Aviation Administration reauthorization and Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court.
For Kavanaugh… A week-long FBI investigation was agreed to last Friday and is expected to conclude late this week. Votes on his nomination are expected to follow in short order.
For more details about the upcoming week in Washington and on the campaign trail, sign up for a free week of AR Intel by clicking here.
Meet Jennifer Wexton, the Democrat Challenging Barbara Comstock in VA-10
After Tuesday night’s primary results, AR Intel is taking a closer look at the Democrat who won the Virginia 10th Congressional District primary, Jennifer Wexton.
Wexton is an attorney and a Virginia state Senator. A graduate of the Marshall-Wythe School of Law at William and Mary, Wexton has spent the majority of her legal career at Ritenour Paice & Mougin-Boal, where she became a partner in 2006. Wexton’s practice included civil litigation, divorce, child custody, criminal defense, and real estate matters.
In November 2013, Wexton was selected by Democrats to run for a special election in Virginia’s 33rd State Senate district – which she won. While serving in the state Senate, Wexton was mentioned multiple times as a potential candidate for higher office. In 2015, Wexton was talked about as a potential Lieutenant Governor candidate and in 2016 she was considered as a possible candidate to run against Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-VA).
Wexton’s entrance into the 2018 race was viewed as a boon for Democrats in the district as many considered her to be the strongest candidate to challenge Comstock.
To take a deeper dive into the financial make-up of the VA-10 race and learn where Wexton stands on issues like tax reform, health care, and the environment, become an AR Intel insider!
FiveThirtyEight: Primary Briefing: Virginia, Nevada, South Carolina, North Dakota
“We’re halfway home, election junkies. Going into this week, 21 states have held their primary elections for 2018; on Tuesday, we add Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and Virginia to that list. From Charlottesville to Carson City, from Bangor to Bismarck, here’s what to watch for in this week’s primaries.”
To read this story, become an AR Intel Insider today!
VA-10 Candidates Pledge to Support Extreme Steyer Agenda
At a Monday town hall in northern Virginia, Democratic candidates hoping to challenge Rep. Barbara Comstack (D-VA) obediently pledged themselves to support liberal billionaire Tom Steyer’s platform.
To read more about this event, become an AR Intel subscriber.
Morning Consult’s May Midterm Polling Update: By The Numbers
Morning Consult published a series of new polling numbers that track President Trump’s approval rating, the generic congressional ballot, approval of incumbent senators, and top policy issues.
AR Intel distilled the numbers and broke everything down. To see that analysis, become an AR Intel Insider today!