The Political Edge: The 2018 House Candidates We May See In 2020
In this week’s edition of The Political Edge, we take a look at the failed 2018 House candidates who are now weighing Senate bids. Additionally, we breakdown an analysis from The New York Times highlighting the unprecedented number of Democrats who have announced their candidacy for President nearly 100 weeks before the election.
Failed House Candidates Running For Senate In 2020
On Tuesday, Roll Call’s Simone Pathé posted a new article highlighting several 2018 House Democratic candidates who are now considering a run for U.S. Senate. Below is a rundown of the candidates who are contemplating a Senate bid, according to Pathé.
J.D. Scholten – Scholten ran an unsuccessful campaign against Rep. Steve King in IA-04 last year, losing by 3.3 points. He is considering a challenge to Iowa’s Sen. Joni Ernst. Scholten ended 2018 with $75,000 on hand.
Amy McGrath – In 2018, McGrath lost the KY-06 Congressional race to Rep. Andy Barr by 3.2 points. Reports indicate that now Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer is trying to recruit her to run against Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. McGrath ended 2018 with $268,000 on hand.
Jon Ossoff – Ossoff lost the 2017 special election in GA-07 to Karen Handel by 3.8 points. He recently said he would back Stacey Abrams for Senate, but isn’t “ruling anything out if she decides against” challenging Republican incumbent David Perdue. Ossoff ended 2018 with $392,000 on hand.
MJ Hegar – Last year, Hegar lost a close race to Rep. John Carter in TX-31 by 2.9 points. She is said to be considering a bid against Sen. John Cornyn in Texas next year. Hegar ended 2018 with $47,000 on hand.
Joseph Kopser – Kopser lost the race to replace retiring Rep. Lamar Smith (TX-21) by 2.6 points last year. Like Hegar, he is said to be considering a bid against Cornyn in Texas next year. Kopser ended 2018 with $9,000 on hand.
The Presidential Primary Is Crowded Early
Two months into 2019 and there are currently 11 Democrats running for President. With more candidates expected to announce over the coming weeks months, The New York Times conducted an analysis comparing the number of Democrats currently running to years past. If it feels like the field has grown quickly and early, it’s because it has.
According to the analysis, “the Democratic presidential field for 2020 is more crowded than typical for this early in an election cycle.” At this point in 2008 there were eight candidates running, the previous high for candidates running this early.
The Democratic field also appears to be getting crowded much sooner than the 2016 Republican field, which hit a modern political record with 17 major candidates at its peak.
AR Intel Week Ahead: 10-15-18
With just three weeks until Election Day, debate season is in full gear in House and Senate races. Senate debates for Arizona, Missouri, Nevada, and Wisconsin are all taking place this week, along with key House races in Michigan, Iowa, Ohio, and Nebraska, among many others.
Meanwhile, President Trump is hitting the road on behalf of candidates across the country. He’s in Florida Monday, surveying damage done to the panhandle coast by Hurricane Michael, and then handing out the medal of honor on Wednesday. He’ll hold rallies in Montana and Arizona later in the week.
For further details on these updates and much more, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel!
AR Intel’s 2018 Midterm Debate Look Ahead
It’s officially debate season! House and Senate candidates across the country are taking the debate stage, looking into television camera lenses, and telling voters what exactly it is they will do in office.
Given the sheer number of closely-watched races, let alone the number of debates for each race, AR Intel compiled a list of debates in some of the most critical races this fall. Take a look below of October’s “Must See TV” debates, and let us know in the comments section if we missed one important to you!
To view the AR Intel debate look ahead, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel today!
The First Iowa 2020 Poll Is Here – What It Means for Democrats
With 35 days to go until the 2018 midterm elections, a new poll was released Monday that is already looking past this year’s races and focusing on the presidential contest in 2020.
The results, given the candidates involved, were not terribly surprising. Want to know more? Sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel to get an analysis of the 2020 numbers and a historical perspective on the last open-field race in 2008.
Axios’s 5 Most Competitive 2018 Midterm House Races
With less than three months to go until the November midterms, media company Axios has put out a list of what it believes are the 5 most competitive House races this year.
This list includes tight races in states like Texas, California, and Florida, as well as smaller states like Iowa and Maine.
Want to see the list? Sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel by clicking here!
Primary Preview: Alabama, Iowa, New Jersey
On Monday, AR Intel broke down the competitive California House primaries, but a lot more states with competitive House races are holding primaries Tuesday. From Alabama, to Iowa, to New Jersey, these early June primaries are expected to be the biggest single day of primaries on the 2018 midterm calendar.
AR Intel is breaking down what you need to know about the key races like AL-02, IA-01, and a whole set of competitive races in New Jersey. To read that analysis, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel today!
DMR: Vice President Pence: Tax cuts are working in Iowa
“When I visit Iowa on Tuesday, I’ll bring a message to the good people of the Hawkeye State: The American economy is booming — and we’re just getting started. Since Day 1 of our administration, President Trump has been fighting to rev the engine of our national prosperity and restore hope to the forgotten men and women of America. …” To read more of Vice President Pence’s op-ed, become an AR Intel Subscriber today.