Welcome to the AR/Intel Race Rundown, our weekly recap of the most important news happening in campaigns across the country. Sign up to get the Race Rundown delivered to your inbox every Friday morning here.
Since officially announcing his campaign for reelection last week, President Trump has raised $36 million. (CNBC, 6/26/19)
The Supreme Court ruled that federal courts must stay out of disputes over when politicians go too far in drawing district lines for partisan gain. (CNN, 6/27/19)
- The Supreme Court also ruled that the Trump administration cannot include a question about citizenship on the 2020 census form. (NBC News, 6/27/19)
AR/Intel Insiders: Read our exclusive interview with the National Republican Redistricting Trust’s Executive Director Adam Kincaid about how the rulings might impact 2020 races and the census.
The Judicial Crisis Network announced that it will spend $1.1 million in a two-week national ad campaign to pressure Democratic presidential candidates into releasing a shortlist compiled by liberal groups of potential Supreme Court nominees. (CNBC, 6/25/19)
This week, Republicans launched WinRed, an online fundraising platform being billed as the GOP’s answer to the Democratic Party’s ActBlue. (Politico, 6/23/19)
AR/Intel Insiders: Need a refresher on how ActBlue works? Check out our ActBlue Political Briefing which covers everything you need to know about the fundraising platform that helped Democrats raise over $1.6 billion in 2018.
Politico: “Most Of The 2020 Democratic Candidates Are Already Doomed” (Politico, 6/26/19)
CNBC: “Here Are The Democrats Who Gained And Lost The Most In The First 2020 Presidential Primary Debate” (CNBC, 6/28/19)
- FiveThirtyEight: “Who Won The First Democratic Debate?” (FiveThirtyEight, 6/27/19)
- Politico: “Biden And Bernie Square Off While Harris Shines” (Politico, 6/27/19)
- The New York Times: “In Debate, Moderate Democrats Offer Clashing Vision With Party’s Progressive Wing” (The New York Times, 6/27/19)
The Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC) “launched a campaign Monday to identify and highlight primary voters who were previously undecided or backed other candidates who then threw their support behind Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s (D-MA) White House bid.” (The Hill, 6/24/19)
The Huffington Post: “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Doesn’t Think Joe Biden Is The ‘Pragmatic Choice’ For Democrats” (The Huffington Post, 6/26/19)
POLL: This week’s Morning Consult poll of Democratic primary voters found former Vice President Joe Biden leading the field for President with support from 38% of those polled. He is followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (19%), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (13%), Mayor Pete Buttigieg (7%), and Sen. Kamala Harris (6%). (Morning Consult, 6/24/19)
Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill formally announce his campaign for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate. (Montgomery Advertiser, 6/25/19)
A new survey from the Alabama-based polling firm Cygnal shows Tommy Tuberville leading the Republican primary field with support from 29% of Republican voters. He is followed by Rep. Bradley Byrne (21%), Roy Moore (13%), John Merrill (12%), and Arnold Mooney (2%). (The Hill, 6/25/19)
President Trump endorsed Sen. Martha McSally’s (R-AZ) reelection campaign this week saying she “has done an outstanding job in D.C.” (The Hill, 6/25/19)
Ahead of her 2020 race, Sen. McSally is replacing her top consultant and hiring Terry Nelson, a veteran strategist and managing partner at FP1 Strategies. Nelson served as national political director on President George W. Bush’s 2004 reelection campaign and was political director at the National Republican Congressional Committee. (Politico, 6/24/19)
Per The Arizona Republic, “Daniel McCarthy, an Arizona businessman and political newcomer, may mount a primary campaign to run against Sen. Martha McSally for the Republican nomination for Senate in 2020, he confirmed Wednesday.” (The Arizona Republic, 6/26/19)
Time: “Chuck Schumer Is Trying To Clear The Iowa Senate Primary” (Time, 6/24/19)
Iowa Values, a conservative nonprofit, launched an advertising and canvassing effort this month to boost Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA). The plan includes a six-figure investment in digital advertising and a canvassing effort with the goal of knocking on 150,000 doors through the summer and fall. (Politico, 6/27/19)
AR/Intel Insiders: The Democratic primary for this seat is heating up – Follow the latest developments here.
Dave Linstrom, a former Kansas City Chiefs player and now businessman who has served on local and state government boards is running for the U.S. Senate in Kansas as a Republican. (The Associated Press, 6/27/19)
Maine House Speaker Sara Gideon (D-ME) announced her candidacy for the Democratic nomination to challenge Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME). (F0x-Freeport, 6/24/19)
- Following her announcement, Gideon received endorsements from the DSCC and EMILY’s List. (Roll Call, 6/25/19; Politico, 6/25/19)
The Washington Free Beacon: “Maine Dems Blast National Party For Quick Endorsement In Primary” (The Washington Free Beacon, 6/25/19)
AR/Intel Insiders: Gideon isn’t the only candidate with a major group backing her. Find out who else is involved in the Democratic primary with our updated Race Brief.
SENATE NEW HAMPSHIRE
Retired Army Brig. Gen. Donald Bolduc (R-NH) launched his campaign against Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) this week. (Politico, 6/24/19)
SENATE NORTH CAROLINA
President Trump endorsed Sen. Thom Tillis’ (R-NC) reelection campaign this week saying that Tillis “has really stepped up to the plate.” (Politico, 6/25/19)
SENATE SOUTH CAROLINA
McClatchy: “Graham Locks Down Home State Support — And Seeks To Lock Out Primary Challengers” (McClatchy, 6/26/19)
Despite filing to run for the open seat being vacated by Sen. Mike Enzi (R-WY), former-Rep. Cynthia Lummis denied that she has made a decision on whether she will be launching a bid for the office. (The Daily Caller, 6/21/19)
Roots Action, a left-wing group, drafted a report on 15 House members it considers prime targets for progressive primary challenges. The members its identifies are: Cheri Bustos (IL); Jim Cooper (TN); Jim Costa (CA); Henry Cuellar (TX); Eliot Engel (NY); Josh Gottheimer (NJ); Jim Himes (CT); Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (MD); Derek Kilmer (WA); Dan Lipinski (IL); Gregory Meeks (NY); Brad Schneider (IL); Kurt Schrader (OR); David Scott (GA); and Juan Vargas (CA). (The Huffington Post, 6/24/19)
The Hill: “Democrats Already Jockeying For House Leadership Posts” (The Hill, 6/26/19)
CA-48: Freshman Rep. Harley Rouda (D-CA) became the second California congressman in a swing district to formally back an impeachment inquiry against President Trump. (The Washington Free Beacon, 6/25/19)
IA-02: Osceola Mayor Thomas Kedley, the only Republican running for the open U.S. House seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Dave Loebsack (D-IA), dropped out of the race. (Caffeinated Thoughts, 6/23/19)
AR/Intel Insiders: Want to learn more about a specific race? Access our growing list of up-to-date Race Briefs.
KS-03: Former Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R-KS) hosted an event for Sara Hart Weir (R-KS), a former CEO and president of the National Down Syndrome Society, who is expected to mount a challenge to freshman Rep. Sharice Davids (D-KS). (McClatchy, 6/26/19)
MO-02: Democratic activists and strategists in Missouri told The Morning Consult they expect Becky Morgan, who leads the Missouri chapter of Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America, to launch a Democratic challenge to Rep. Ann Wagner (R-MO) as soon as next month. (The Morning Consult, 6/25/19)
HOUSE NORTH CAROLINA
NC-03: Joan Perry and Greg Murphy, the two Republican candidates in a special election primary runoff in NC-03, filed their pre-runoff reports for the election on July 9. Murphy raised $226,000, spent $245,000 and had $95,000 cash on hand as of June 19 and Perry raised $220,000, spent $244,000 and had $55,000 cash on hand. (Politico, 6/28/19)
HOUSE SOUTH CAROLINA
SC-01: Republican state Rep. Nancy Mace announced that she is filing paperwork to run for the congressional seat currently held by freshman Rep. Joe Cunningham. (The State, 6/25/19)