THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 09-17-18
With only 50 days remaining until America votes in this year’s midterm elections, President Trump continues to focus on helping Republicans hold the House and Senate in November. The president is set to travel to Nevada and Missouri later this week to campaign for Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) and Republican State Attorney General Josh Hawley, who is challenging Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) for her Senate seat.
Meanwhile, senators will vote on a bipartisan bill to combat the opioid epidemic, as well as a minibus containing funding for Defense, Labor and Health and Human Services departments. House lawmakers are in their districts this week to observe Yom Kippur.
Predictive Model Gives Republicans Edge for the Senate, Democrats for the House
A predictive modeling firm gives Republicans the edge in retaining the Senate in November and says Democrats are positioned to retake the House.
Data firm 0ptimus closely monitors House and Senate races to make predictive models designed to predict the likelihood of Republican and Democrat candidates’ victories in November.
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The AR Intel Week Ahead: 09-04-18
Sparks are already flying in Washington, D.C. over Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation in the Senate Judiciary Committee. With August recess finally over, this week will be dominated by Supreme Court hearings, as well as Senate Intelligence Committee hearings with top officials at social media companies like Facebook and Twitter.
For these stories and more, check out the weekly AR Intel week ahead below:
Primary Recap: What Happened in Florida and Arizona?
Voters in Florida and Arizona picked candidates in key races up and down the ballot Tuesday night. While the primaries for Senate in Florida were a bit of a formality, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) and Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL) faced little to no opposition, the governor’s race provided one of the biggest surprises of the night, if not the midterms.
In Arizona, Republican voters finally decided on a candidate to take on Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) in the general election. Their choice? The first U.S. female fighter pilot to fly in combat.
For more information on these races, plus key House races, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel!
America First Gives Spending Boost to Key Races in Minnesota, Michigan & More
America First Action PAC, the super PAC closely associated with President Trump and his reelection campaign, announced its first wave of campaign spending for the 2018 midterms on Tuesday.
Key races in Minnesota, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are among those receiving added financial help from America First Action PAC.
To see the full list, plus read an excerpt from an earlier post in which America First President Brian Walsh laid out the group’s 2018 priorities, sign up for a 7-day free trial by clicking here.
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-27-18
Washington, D.C. is mourning the passing of Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) this week. McCain, a husband, father of seven, Vietnam veteran, Republican congressman and senator from Arizona, and a two-time contender for the presidency, passed away on Saturday at the age of 81 after battling a malignant brain tumor since 2017.
Tributes from around the world have poured in for the late senator, hailing McCain as the ultimate American hero, patriot, and statesman. Politicians, both Republicans and Democrats alike, praised the man they knew as the ‘Maverick’ as a faithful servant of democracy, and one who lived his life true to his principles, unafraid to go his own way.
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Republicans Hold Data Advantage in Montana Midterms
Even before polling places closed the night of Montana’s special congressional election, the ground team for the Republican National Committee was challenging the press to call the race.
“Just call it,” the RNC staffers said to the press seated in the back of Bozeman’s Hilton Garden Inn conference room, the site of Greg Gianforte’s election night party. They weren’t just calling the race. RNC staffers were naming the counties they were certain they’d won, particularly Cascade, which typically lights up blue on election night. Cascade is a county Democrats usually have to win in order to prevail in statewide races.
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THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-20-18
Senators fly back to Washington, D.C. on Monday and are set to begin working on two new spending bills. They’ll also be preoccupied with Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, as he continues his meetings on Capitol Hill this week. He’ll sit down on Monday with Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), the top Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, followed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and vulnerable red-state Democrat Sen. Clarie McCaskill (D-MO) on Tuesday. Kavanaugh’s confirmation hearing is set to begin on September 4.
Meanwhile at the White House, President Trump is holding an event on Monday afternoon to honor the heroes of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen, Gov. Doug Ducey (R-AZ), Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) and members of the National Sheriffs’ Association will be in attendance. President Trump will also hit the campaign trail this week, flying to West Virginia on Tuesday to hold a roundtable and campaign rally with supporters.
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Primary Recap: What Happened in Connecticut, Minnesota, & Wisconsin
Tuesday night marked yet another busy primary day across the country, as voters flocked to the polls in states like Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.
Leah Vukmir defeated Kevin Nicholson in an at-times contentious Republican primary for Senate in Wisconsin. For details on that race, along with the Minnesota Senate race, and house races in all three states, become an AR Intel Insider and gain full access to analysis pieces just like this one!
Axios’s 5 Most Competitive 2018 Midterm House Races
With less than three months to go until the November midterms, media company Axios has put out a list of what it believes are the 5 most competitive House races this year.
This list includes tight races in states like Texas, California, and Florida, as well as smaller states like Iowa and Maine.
Want to see the list? Sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel by clicking here!