SF Chronicle: Bad news for Dems: Trump’s rating is rising where it counts in California
All that talk of a Democratic blue wave sweeping congressional races in California could be for naught if a new poll is on target: It shows President Trump’s approval rating surging to 50 percent in Orange County, site of four tight races that could determine if Republicans hold the House.
To read more, become an AR Intel subscriber today.
NRCC’s Matt Gorman: Minnesota Could Be a Bellwether for the House in 2018
Keep an eye on Minnesota. That’s the advice of Matt Gorman, the National Republican Congressional Committee’s (NRCC) communications director, who sat down with AR Intel this week to discuss the upcoming midterm elections.
Want to know why Minnesota could be a bellwether for the 2018 midterm House races? Become an AR Intel Insider to read this exclusive interview!
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 05-21-2018
The White House is preparing to welcome President Moon Jae-in of South Korea on Tuesday. President Trump and President Moon spoke over the weekend via telephone about the summit in Singapore next month with North Korea’s leader, and it is expected that the purpose of Tuesday’s meeting at the White House is to continue preparing for the historic gathering.
In the meantime, expect to hear more about foreign policy this week. On Monday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will deliver a keynote address at the Heritage Foundation on the administration’s new diplomatic path on Iran. Also on Monday, President Trump will head to CIA headquarters to speak at Gina Haspel’s swearing-in ceremony.
To read on, become an AR-Intel subscriber now!
Meet the Left-Wing Liberal Who Just Cost Democrats a House Seat in Nebraska
Kara Eastman narrowly defeated former Rep. Brad Ashford (D-NE) on Tuesday in a major win for the party’s left-wing, liberal die-hards. Ashford, who represented the district from 2015-2017, lost to now-Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) in 2016. Eastman will face Bacon in the general election this November.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) earlier this year named Ashford in its “Red to Blue” program, in which they announce top seats they want to flip in the upcoming election cycle. Eastman’s fringe campaign upended those plans with her win this week.
Immediately political prognosticators reversed their rulings. Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball had previous called the district a “toss up,” when it was thought Ashford would be the Democrat nominee. After Eastman’s win and sensing how out of step she is for Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, they moved the seat to “leans Republican.”
AR Intel obtained tracking video of Eastman at several events in the weeks and months leading up to the Nebraska primary. To see that video, become an AR Intel Insider by signing up for a free 7-day trial today!
Primaries in Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Idaho, Oregon – Here’s Who to Follow
If it’s a Tuesday in May, it’s almost certainly another primary day. This week’s primaries are being held in Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Idaho, and Oregon.
For all the latest news and notes on the returns, be sure to follow the list of reporters and politicos compiled by AR Intel. And if you can’t because you’re not a subscriber, sign up today!
VA-10 Candidates Pledge to Support Extreme Steyer Agenda
At a Monday town hall in northern Virginia, Democratic candidates hoping to challenge Rep. Barbara Comstack (D-VA) obediently pledged themselves to support liberal billionaire Tom Steyer’s platform.
To read more about this event, become an AR Intel subscriber.
CNBC: The battle for Congress heads to Pennsylvania: Here are Tuesday’s primary races to watch
For the second straight week, voters in four states will choose major party nominees Tuesday for races with big stakes in November’s midterm elections.
To read about the key races in Pennsylvania, become an AR Intel insider today!
Liberal ideas move from fringe to front-burner for Democrats
Freed from the constraints of power, Democrats are becoming a progressive ideas factory.
On issues like health care, immigration, jobs, and crime, once-fringe policy proposals are gaining traction with lawmakers, activists, and wonks as they debate the party’s path out of its current wilderness.
Democrats point to a few factors driving the progressive policy boom.
To read more, become an AR Intel Insider today!
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 05-14-2018
A delegation of White House officials, including Steven Mnuchin, Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump, are in Israel this week to mark the opening of the new U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem. Meanwhile, President Trump will head to Capitol Hill this week to address Republican senators. It’s expected he’ll touch on tax reform, the economy, and North Korea during the closed-door luncheon.
In the House, lawmakers are expected to take up the farm bill and reauthorize the VA Choice Program this week. In the Senate, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) has teed up votes on judicial nominees, while Democrats have forced a vote on Sen. Ed Markey’s (D-MA) Congressional Review Act resolution on net neutrality rules. Also, committee members on the Senate Intelligence Committee could vote on CIA deputy director Gina Haspel’s nomination as soon as this week.
To read on, become an AR Intel subscriber today!
Primary Turnout Analysis: West Virginia, Indiana, Ohio
Primary voters hit the polls Tuesday in states with key House, Senate, and gubernatorial primaries. AR Intel broke down the data to analyze how turnout in the 2018 midterms compared to previous primaries.
Unfortunately little data is currently available in Indiana, but voter turnout went up in West Virginia compared to 2014, despite a new voter ID law taking effect this cycle. And in Ohio, significantly more ballots were cast for Repubican Mike DeWine than Democrat Richard Cordray in that state’s gubernatorial primaries.
To see the analysis, sign up for AR Intel and become a subscriber today!