Morning Consult’s May Midterm Polling Update: By The Numbers
Morning Consult published a series of new polling numbers that track President Trump’s approval rating, the generic congressional ballot, approval of incumbent senators, and top policy issues.
AR Intel distilled the numbers and broke everything down. To see that analysis, become an AR Intel Insider today!
Senate Democrats’ Q1 Fundraising Numbers
In a midterm election cycle that typically favors the party not holding the White House, fundraising will be one barometer to measure whether that dynamic holds true in 2018. However, even with those potential electoral headwinds, Democrats will be defending 10 Senate seats located in states President Trump won in 2016.
To see a full list of Democrats’ 2018 Q1 fundraising and cash on hand, become and AR Intel subscriber today!
Democrats’ Jan. & Feb. Online Fundraising: By The Numbers
While the political world awaits candidates’ fundraising totals from the first quarter of 2018, the Democrats’ online fundraising operation, known as Act Blue, published disclosures for the first two months of the year.
Unsurprisingly, the top recipient of online money through Act Blue was Pennsylvania Democrat Conor Lamb, who on March 13 won a nationalized special election contest in suburban Pittsburgh to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R-PA).
To find out how much he raised and see how other candidates fared, become an AR Intel Insider today.
Latest Poll Shows Tammy Baldwin’s Rising Unpopularity
A new Marquette University Law School poll, released last week, showed Wisconsin voters may be growing tired of Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI).
The highly respected poll has tracked Wisconsin voters’ opinion of Baldwin since before she was first elected in 2012, asking if voters had a favorable or unfavorable view of the Madison native.
A look at the most recent polling done by law school reveals voters’ unfavorable opinions of Baldwin have been on the rise since June 2016.
While voters had a net positive view of Baldwin back in 2016, 37 saying they had a favorable view of the junior senator and 33 with an unfavorable view, Baldwin’s negatives have steadily been on the rise in recent months, and those positions are now reversed, with more Wisconsinites viewing Baldwin unfavorably.
The latest Marquette University Law School poll showed just 37 percent held a favorable opinion of Baldwin while 39 percent held an unfavorable view.
Baldwin has been a persistent target of ad dollars spent against her reelection efforts. Groups like Americans for Prosperity, Freedom Partners Chamber of Commerce, and most recently Concerned Veterans for America have each run ads against Baldwin. According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, these groups have already spent more than $9 million against Baldwin to date.
Could we be seeing the impact of those ad dollars?
Axios: New peril for moderate Dems: Voters happy with Trump’s economy
Half of all voters in the 10 states that voted for Trump but have Democratic senators say the economy is better off now than it was a year ago, according to new Axios/SurveyMonkey polls. And in nine of the states majorities approve of the GOP tax law.
What could that mean for the 2018 midterms? Become an AR Intel Insider to read more!
AFSCME’s Donations to 2018 Democrats
Oral arguments began this week before the Supreme Court in a case that could deeply impact how unions generate money, and subsequently, how they dole it out to political candidates. How much did 2018 Democrats rake in from AFSCME? Become an AR Intel Insider and find out!
Senate Dem Q4 Fundraising Totals – By The Numbers
Several Senate Democrats are running in 2018 in states that Donald Trump won by big margins in 2016. Here’s who is in the most trouble.
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 02-19-2018
Despite Congress being on recess this week, Washington, D.C. will still be buzzing with CPAC beginning Wednesday. President Trump and Vice President Pence are slated to address conservative grassroots activists Friday.
To find out more about CPAC and President Trump’s week ahead, become an AR Intel Insider today!