THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-06-18
This week, voters head to the polls in several states across the country to vote in primary elections. We will see primary results in Missouri, Michigan, Washington, and Kansas on Tuesday night. However, the nation will be paying particular attention to a special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District.
Stretching from Zanesville to the outskirts of Columbus, the 12th District is a traditionally conservative seat that the GOP has held for the last 35 years. This year, however, Republican Troy Balderson is fighting off a serious challenge from Democrat Danny O’Connor.
Despite outside GOP groups pouring millions into the seat and Balderson benefiting from recent visits from President Trump and Vice President Pence, the race is a toss-up according to a recent Monmouth University poll.
With this being the last special election before the November midterms, Tuesday’s election results could very well set the tone for the remainder of this election cycle.
Stay tuned to AR Intel for all your primary night news.
Axios: Brutal poll: Democrats’ Senate dream slips away
To win the Senate, Democrats need to keep all 10 seats they’re defending in states that President Trump won in 2016 — plus pick up two more seats.
Why it matters: That’s not happening. A new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll of key states shows Dems would lose three of those red-state seats while picking up two GOP seats — still short of the majority.
To take a look at that poll and its findings, become an AR Intel Insider today!
POLL-A-RAMA: The Latest Polls Shows Who’s Up, Down in AZ, FL, TX
A series of new polls released Monday give important insight into how battleground Senate races could shape up come November. The results, which cover key races in Arizona, Florida, and Texas, serve as early indicators of where those races stand. In two of the states, Arizona and Florida, we’re still about two months away from the primaries, but only Arizona’s primary is considered competitive.
To see a full breakdown of these polls, sign up today for a 7-day free trial of AR Intel!
VIDEO: McSally Collects More Signatures Than Any Other AZ-SEN Candidate
Rep. Martha McSally announced Tuesday at an event in Phoenix that she collected more signatures than any other candidate, Democrat or Republican, in order to appear on the August primary ballot.
AR Intel has exclusive video of McSally making this announcement and a breakdown of the signature totals brought in by not just McSally’s campaign, but all the candidates running for Senate in Arizona. To get exclusive access to the video and vote totals, become an AR Intel Insider today!
AZ Central: Fact check: Kyrsten Sinema claims she stopped a pay raise for Congress — is she right?
In a video posted on social media, Senate candidate Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) made the following statement:
“They (Congress) actually wanted to give themselves a raise next year — I stopped them. The last thing these finger-pointing politicians need is a reward for the dysfunction they’ve created in Washington, so I’ve stopped the raises and will get back to work on solving problems for everyday Arizonans.”
Is it true? Did she stop Congress from increase its salary in 2018? To find out, become an AR Intel Insider!
Morning Consult’s May Midterm Polling Update: By The Numbers
Morning Consult published a series of new polling numbers that track President Trump’s approval rating, the generic congressional ballot, approval of incumbent senators, and top policy issues.
AR Intel distilled the numbers and broke everything down. To see that analysis, become an AR Intel Insider today!
POLITICO’s top 10 Senate races
“In North Dakota, a sought-after GOP recruit, Rep. Kevin Cramer, changed his mind and jumped into the race against Democratic incumbent Heidi Heitkamp. And perhaps more significant, Florida Gov. Rick Scott inched closer this week to bringing his statewide name ID and boatloads of money to the race against vulnerable Sen. Bill Nelson.”
To read about these and other top Senate races for 2018, become an AR Intel Insider today.
Brian O. Walsh & Carl Forti on What to Expect in the Lead Up to 2018 and 2020
During an exclusive America Rising Intel conference call last week, seasoned political professionals Brian O. Walsh and Carl Forti provided critical insights on the upcoming 2018 midterm elections and President Trump’s looming reelection campaign in 2020.
To read about what they said, become an AR Intel Insider.
Bernie Sanders Causing Headaches for Establishment Dems Across the Map
Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who caucuses with Democrats and has a significant grassroots following, has focused on bolstering members of the progressive wing of the party, often to the detriment of more mainstream, and frankly electable, Democratic candidates.
What are the top 4 races in which Sanders is playing politics with establishment Democrats, hurting the party’s chances of winning in November? Become an AR Intel Insider to find out!