What Went Wrong? Heidi Heitkamp’s 3 Biggest Challenges to Reelection
She won her Senate seat in 2012 by the narrowest margin of any Senate race that year. Six years later, Sen. Heidi Heitkamp lost that seat by the largest margin of any Senate race in 2018.
In many ways, Heitkamp’s ultimate defeat is not at all surprising – her state voted overwhelmingly for Republican Donald Trump in 2016, she was the state’s only statewide elected Democrat, and she faced a well-known opponent whose politics more closely matched the states’ voters.
AR Intel will take a closer look at what went wrong for Heitkamp in North Dakota below. If you want access to this story and its analysis, sign up today for a free trial of AR Intel by clicking here.
Senate Democrats’ Q3 Fundraising Totals & Cash on Hand
The Federal Election Commission’s (FEC) final deadline before Election Day has come and gone, meaning we now know exactly what Senate Democrats in battleground states raised and spent in the third quarter of the year. It also means we know how much they had in the bank at the start of the final month of the campaign.
Democrats in Ohio and Missouri took the top spots for each of the fundraising categories in AR Intel’s breakdown.
To see the full breakdown, sign up for a free trial of AR Intel today!
Senate Poll Round-Up: Republicans Ahead in AZ, NV, TN, Tied in MO
It’s been another week and another flurry of Senate polls! By far Arizona was the most polled state this week with four newly released polls in the past seven days. The most recent poll shows Republican Martha McSally leading her Democrat opponent.
Republicans are also leading in contests in Nevada, North Dakota, Tennessee, and Texas. And keep a close eye on Missouri – the latest poll, conducted by Fox News, shows Republican Josh Hawley tied with Democrat Claire McCaskill. But the RealClearPolitics polling average now favors Hawley, meaning that the contest could be trending in the Republican’s direction.
To see the full slate of Senate poll results, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel today!
AR Intel’s 2018 Midterm Debate Look Ahead
It’s officially debate season! House and Senate candidates across the country are taking the debate stage, looking into television camera lenses, and telling voters what exactly it is they will do in office.
Given the sheer number of closely-watched races, let alone the number of debates for each race, AR Intel compiled a list of debates in some of the most critical races this fall. Take a look below of October’s “Must See TV” debates, and let us know in the comments section if we missed one important to you!
To view the AR Intel debate look ahead, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel today!
Senate Poll Round-Up: GOP Up Big in ND, Surprisingly Close in NJ, & More
With exactly five weeks until Election Day, AR Intel is taking now monitoring Senate polls more closely than ever. This week’s round-up is designed to get you up to speed on where the candidate’s stand in some of the tightest Senate races across the country this particular week.
While a poll should be viewed as a snapshot in time, trends in polls can often be more telling than the actual results themselves. AR Intel will work to not just report the latest numbers but report on what’s happening in the races that matter most.
To view the full round-up, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel by clicking here.
AR Intel Week Ahead: 10-01-18
There are just 36 days left until the 2018 election.
The House is out for recess this week and will not return until after the midterm elections, giving its members opportunities for last-minute campaigning
The Senate has two items on its agenda for this week: voting on the Federal Aviation Administration reauthorization and Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court.
For Kavanaugh… A week-long FBI investigation was agreed to last Friday and is expected to conclude late this week. Votes on his nomination are expected to follow in short order.
For more details about the upcoming week in Washington and on the campaign trail, sign up for a free week of AR Intel by clicking here.
The Top 10 Red State Democrats in Online Fundraising This July
Every dollar counts in a political campaign, and that’s never truer than in the final months of a campaign. Red state Democrats are doing everything they can to raise money to preserve their seats in Congress, and FEC data filed by ActBlue, the Democrats’ online fundraising platform, shows us exactly how much they raised in the month of July.
Whereas voters would normally not get an opportunity to see how online fundraising is doing among these senators, ActBlue’s filings give us a sneak peek on how Q3 fundraising is going for these Democrats.
To see a breakdown of who raised what, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel here!
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-20-18
Senators fly back to Washington, D.C. on Monday and are set to begin working on two new spending bills. They’ll also be preoccupied with Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, as he continues his meetings on Capitol Hill this week. He’ll sit down on Monday with Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), the top Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, followed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and vulnerable red-state Democrat Sen. Clarie McCaskill (D-MO) on Tuesday. Kavanaugh’s confirmation hearing is set to begin on September 4.
Meanwhile at the White House, President Trump is holding an event on Monday afternoon to honor the heroes of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen, Gov. Doug Ducey (R-AZ), Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) and members of the National Sheriffs’ Association will be in attendance. President Trump will also hit the campaign trail this week, flying to West Virginia on Tuesday to hold a roundtable and campaign rally with supporters.
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THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-13-18
The President returns to Washington, DC this week, ready to advance his Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. Judge Kavanaugh will meet with two key red state Democrats on Wednesday, Sens. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) and Joe Donnelly (D-IN). While liberal efforts to stall Kavanaugh’s nomination struggle to get off the ground, Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA) has announced that Kavanaugh’s Senate confirmation hearings will begin September 4.
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THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-06-18
This week, voters head to the polls in several states across the country to vote in primary elections. We will see primary results in Missouri, Michigan, Washington, and Kansas on Tuesday night. However, the nation will be paying particular attention to a special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District.
Stretching from Zanesville to the outskirts of Columbus, the 12th District is a traditionally conservative seat that the GOP has held for the last 35 years. This year, however, Republican Troy Balderson is fighting off a serious challenge from Democrat Danny O’Connor.
Despite outside GOP groups pouring millions into the seat and Balderson benefiting from recent visits from President Trump and Vice President Pence, the race is a toss-up according to a recent Monmouth University poll.
With this being the last special election before the November midterms, Tuesday’s election results could very well set the tone for the remainder of this election cycle.
Stay tuned to AR Intel for all your primary night news.