Primary Recap: What Happened in Florida and Arizona?
Voters in Florida and Arizona picked candidates in key races up and down the ballot Tuesday night. While the primaries for Senate in Florida were a bit of a formality, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) and Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL) faced little to no opposition, the governor’s race provided one of the biggest surprises of the night, if not the midterms.
In Arizona, Republican voters finally decided on a candidate to take on Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) in the general election. Their choice? The first U.S. female fighter pilot to fly in combat.
For more information on these races, plus key House races, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel!
Blue Wave? A Trio of New Senate Polls Throws Cold Water on That Notion
A president’s first midterm is often used as a “check” on that president’s power, typically in the form of voters electing members from the opposing party to positions in Congress. A “wave” election occurs when one party broadly sweeps another out of power, and Democrats are hoping for a “blue wave” in 2018.
But a slew of new Senate polls released this week demonstrates just how difficult it will be for Democrats to accomplish “wave” status. To see the polls and analysis, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel!
The Top 10 Red State Democrats in Online Fundraising This July
Every dollar counts in a political campaign, and that’s never truer than in the final months of a campaign. Red state Democrats are doing everything they can to raise money to preserve their seats in Congress, and FEC data filed by ActBlue, the Democrats’ online fundraising platform, shows us exactly how much they raised in the month of July.
Whereas voters would normally not get an opportunity to see how online fundraising is doing among these senators, ActBlue’s filings give us a sneak peek on how Q3 fundraising is going for these Democrats.
To see a breakdown of who raised what, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel here!
A Timeline of Bill Nelson’s False Claims About Russian Hacking
Earlier this month, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) claimed that Russian hackers had breached Florida’s election system and were “in Florida’s records.” When asked which records the Russians are accessing, Nelson snapped back, “That’s classified.”
Later, he told a reporter that Russians could be deleting names of registered voters from the rolls, thereby denying those citizens their right to vote.
The Washington Post blasted Nelson with a fact check, by NBC News’ Ken Dilanian pushed back, saying there’s no way of knowing if Nelson was right or wrong because the information was classified.
But on Tuesday, the FBI and DHS released a joint letter addressing the issue.
To see a full timeline of what Nelson said, audio and video of those remarks, and where this issue ended up, sign up for a free 7-day trial of AR Intel by clicking here!
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 08-06-18
This week, voters head to the polls in several states across the country to vote in primary elections. We will see primary results in Missouri, Michigan, Washington, and Kansas on Tuesday night. However, the nation will be paying particular attention to a special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District.
Stretching from Zanesville to the outskirts of Columbus, the 12th District is a traditionally conservative seat that the GOP has held for the last 35 years. This year, however, Republican Troy Balderson is fighting off a serious challenge from Democrat Danny O’Connor.
Despite outside GOP groups pouring millions into the seat and Balderson benefiting from recent visits from President Trump and Vice President Pence, the race is a toss-up according to a recent Monmouth University poll.
With this being the last special election before the November midterms, Tuesday’s election results could very well set the tone for the remainder of this election cycle.
Stay tuned to AR Intel for all your primary night news.
Senate Democrats’ Q2 Fundraising Numbers
Red state Democrats will need all the help they can get in the final months leading up to the midterm elections this November. AR Intel has been consistently tracking the fundraising totals of Senate Democrats running in states won by President Trump in the 2016 election.
Many of these incumbents are running for their third or fourth term, but few have faced an environment as challenging as this one. Trump won several of the states that these Democrats represent by larger than 20-point margins.
So, how well did Democrats do in the second quarter of 2018? To find out and get exclusive access to AR Intel’s Q2 fundraising infographic, sign up today!
Axios: Brutal poll: Democrats’ Senate dream slips away
To win the Senate, Democrats need to keep all 10 seats they’re defending in states that President Trump won in 2016 — plus pick up two more seats.
Why it matters: That’s not happening. A new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll of key states shows Dems would lose three of those red-state seats while picking up two GOP seats — still short of the majority.
To take a look at that poll and its findings, become an AR Intel Insider today!
SCOTUS Nomination (So Far): By The Numbers
President Trump will announce his nomination to the Supreme Court to the nation Monday evening. While this will put to rest the rampant speculation about who he will ultimately select, it will set off a furious campaign by outside groups to sway so-called red state Democrats to either support or oppose the nominee. The same could be true of two Republican senators, as well.
AR Intel broke down the numbers — to see our findings, become an Insider by signing up for a 7-day free trial today!
Bill Nelson’s Rhetoric on Supreme Court Vacancies Demonstrates Democrats’ Dilemma
Like many of his fellow Democrats, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) is calling on Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) to delay a vote on President Trump’s eventual nominee to fill Justice Anthony Kennedy’s vacancy on the Supreme Court.
No vote should take place in 2018, Democrats argue, because McConnell blocked President Obama’s nominee, Judge Merrick Garland, in 2016. But that misses McConnell’s point, which was about a president nominating a justice in his final months in office.
So, what did Nelson say about voting for Garland in 2016? How does it compare to his Wednesday declaration that a vote should be delayed? For answers to those questions, become an AR Intel Insider and read on!
POLL-A-RAMA: The Latest Polls Shows Who’s Up, Down in AZ, FL, TX
A series of new polls released Monday give important insight into how battleground Senate races could shape up come November. The results, which cover key races in Arizona, Florida, and Texas, serve as early indicators of where those races stand. In two of the states, Arizona and Florida, we’re still about two months away from the primaries, but only Arizona’s primary is considered competitive.
To see a full breakdown of these polls, sign up today for a 7-day free trial of AR Intel!