Morning Consult’s May Midterm Polling Update: By The Numbers
Morning Consult published a series of new polling numbers that track President Trump’s approval rating, the generic congressional ballot, approval of incumbent senators, and top policy issues.
AR Intel distilled the numbers and broke everything down. To see that analysis, become an AR Intel Insider today!
Senate Democrats’ Q1 Fundraising Numbers
In a midterm election cycle that typically favors the party not holding the White House, fundraising will be one barometer to measure whether that dynamic holds true in 2018. However, even with those potential electoral headwinds, Democrats will be defending 10 Senate seats located in states President Trump won in 2016.
To see a full list of Democrats’ 2018 Q1 fundraising and cash on hand, become and AR Intel subscriber today!
THE AR INTEL WEEK AHEAD: 04-23-2018
Foreign relations will dominate Washington, D.C. this week. President Trump and First Lady Melania Trump will host French President Emmanuel Macron and his wife, Brigitte. On Tuesday, President Trump and President Macron will participate in meetings at the White House followed by a State Dinner, the first of President Trump’s administration. President Macron is hoping to convince President Trump to remain in the Iran Nuclear Deal. Friday, the White House will welcome German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Chancellor Merkel will most likely address the issue of trade during her visit.
Become an AR Intel insider to read on!
Bill Nelson’s Trouble with the Truth
Members of Congress are expected to not only represent their constituents, but to provide people with accurate information, especially in times of crisis. Far too often, politicians entrusted with these duties instead capitalize on tragedies to further their political agenda.
Unfortunately for Floridians, Senator Bill Nelson has made this mistake numerous times.
To learn more about Nelson playing fast and loose with the facts, join AR Intel today!
Why Rick Scott Is Bill Nelson’s Most Serious Challenger, Ever
It’s official: Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL) declared Monday he is running for Senate against longtime incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL). It’s guaranteed to be one the most closely watched and expensive Senate races in the country this year, given the high profile each politician has in the notoriously expensive-to-advertise state of Florida.
To learn more about Nelson’s past elections and why Scott could give him the most competitive race of his career, become an AR Intel subscriber.
The GOP Is Tying Senate Democrats to Hillary Clinton. Here’s Why.
It’s no secret that Hillary Clinton is unpopular. Even in the heat of the 2016 campaign season, it seemed some Democrats were holding their nose to vote for the former secretary of state.
After the campaigning ended, things got worse, not better for the vanquished Clinton. President Trump had defeated Clinton in states not won by Republicans since the 1980s in some cases. Perhaps for that reason, or any number of other valid complaints, Clinton’s standing among the American public began to free-fall.
By late December 2017, Gallup found that just 36 percent of U.S. adults held a favorable view of Clinton. That marked an all-time low for Clinton in the Gallup poll, which has been tracking her favorability since 1993, and a 5-point slip since June of that same year.
To that end, the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) released a set of 10 digital ads that will run in states won by Trump in 2016 and that feature Senate Democrats up for re-election in 2018. The ads will focus on disparaging remarks Clinton made about Trump supporters both during the campaign and as recently as this month.
But does national polling translate to effective strategy at the state level? To find out how one state can serve as a case study for this strategy, become an AR Intel member today!
Tampa Bay Times: Rick Scott edges out Bill Nelson in new poll
Emerging from his final legislative session, Republican Gov. Rick Scott holds a small lead over incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in a potential U.S. Senate race that could help determine control of the Senate, according to a poll released Monday.
To read more, become an AR Intel subscriber today!
Axios: New peril for moderate Dems: Voters happy with Trump’s economy
Half of all voters in the 10 states that voted for Trump but have Democratic senators say the economy is better off now than it was a year ago, according to new Axios/SurveyMonkey polls. And in nine of the states majorities approve of the GOP tax law.
What could that mean for the 2018 midterms? Become an AR Intel Insider to read more!
Exclusive polls: Big warning signs for Senate Democrats
Five Senate Democrats would lose to a Republican candidate if the election were held today and three have approval ratings under 50%, according to new Axios/SurveyMonkey polls.
To learn more about these polls, become an AR Intel Insider today.
AFSCME’s Donations to 2018 Democrats
Oral arguments began this week before the Supreme Court in a case that could deeply impact how unions generate money, and subsequently, how they dole it out to political candidates. How much did 2018 Democrats rake in from AFSCME? Become an AR Intel Insider and find out!